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Political Indicator: Prabowo's Electability Soars, Leaving Ganjar Behind; Anies Continues to Decline

Cindy Mutia Annur 05/06/2023 10:49 WIB

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The latest survey results from Indikator Politik Indonesia show that presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto's electability is in the top spot, widening the gap with Ganjar Pranowo. Meanwhile, Anies B

Support Trend of Three Leading Figures in the 2024 Presidential Election Simulation, according to Indikator Politik Indonesia (July 2022-May 2023)

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Political Indicator: Prabowo's Electability Soars, Leaving Ganjar Behind; Anies Continues to Decline

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Support Trend of Three Leading Figures in the 2024 Presidential Election Simulation, according to Indikator Politik Indonesia (July 2022-May 2023)

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The results of the Indonesian Political Indicator survey at the end of May 2023 show that the electability of presidential candidate (capres) Prabowo Subianto is in the top position, increasingly distancing himself from Ganjar Pranowo. Meanwhile, Anies Baswedan's electability is declining.

Based on a simulation of three presidential candidates for 2024, Prabowo still has the highest electability at 38%. He is followed by Ganjar at 34.2%, Anies at 18.9%, and 8.8% who did not know or did not answer.

Executive Director of the Indonesian Political Indicator Burhanuddin Muhtadi said that Prabowo's lead is due to the support of his supporters in the 2019 election.

"If Anies doesn't get a vehicle to run in 2024, his supporters will mostly switch to Mr. Prabowo. So, if Anies doesn't run, it's very good news for Mr. Prabowo," said Burhanuddin Muhtadi, Executive Director of the Indonesian Political Indicator, in an online conference on Sunday (4/6/2023).

Previously, Ganjar consistently held the lead in the Indonesian Political Indicator surveys in July 2022, October 2022, January 2023, and February 2023. Then, from April to May 2023, Prabowo overtook Ganjar.

On the other hand, Anies briefly held second place in the surveys conducted in July 2022, October 2022, and January 2023. However, Anies' electability began to lag behind his two rivals from the February to May 2023 surveys.

The Indonesian Political Indicator survey was conducted through telephone interviews with 1,230 respondents in Indonesia aged 17 years or older, or who were married, between May 26-30, 2023. Sample selection was conducted using the random digit dialing (RDD) method. RDD is a technique for selecting samples through the random generation of telephone numbers.

With the RDD technique, respondent samples are selected through the random generation of telephone numbers, validation, and screening. The survey's margin of error is approximately 2.9% at a 95% confidence level, assuming simple random sampling.

Editor : Padjar Iswara

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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Political Indicator: Prabowo's Electability Soars, Leaving Ganjar Behind; Anies Continues to Decline

Political Indicator: Prabowo's Electability Soars, Leaving Ganjar Behind; Anies Continues to Decline

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Political Indicator: Prabowo's Electability Soars, Leaving Ganjar Behind; Anies Continues to Decline

Political Indicator: Prabowo's Electability Soars, Leaving Ganjar Behind; Anies Continues to Decline

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