Political Parties, Including Those That Failed to Meet the Parliamentary Threshold, According to Kompas Research and Development (Litbang Kompas)

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Erlina Fury Santika 24/05/2023 12:39 WIB

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A Kompas Research and Development survey indicates that only six political parties will likely surpass the parliamentary threshold for the 2024 elections. PKS, PAN, and PPP are in the danger zone.

Political Party Electability According to Kompas Research and Development (April-May 2023)

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Political Parties, Including Those That Failed to Meet the Parliamentary Threshold, According to Kompas Research and Development (Litbang Kompas)

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Political Party Electability According to Kompas Research and Development (April-May 2023)

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Kompas Research and Development released the electability of political parties based on a survey conducted from April 29 to May 10, 2023. The data shows that only six political parties surpassed the parliamentary threshold (PT) in a simulation of the 2024 General Election.

The parliamentary threshold, set at 4% in the 2019 General Election, is the minimum percentage of votes a political party needs to secure representation in the House of Representatives (DPR) or Regional Representative Council (DPRD).

The six parties that cleared the PT are: PDI-P (23.3% of respondents), Gerindra (18.6%), Democrat (8%), Golkar (7.3%), NasDem (6.3%), and PKB (5.5%).

Twelve other parties failed to meet the threshold, obtaining less than 4% of the vote. This includes established parties such as PPP (2.9%), PAN (3.2%), and PKS (3.8%).

Several parties had electability below 1%, including Hanura (0.6%), PBB (0.4%), and even PKN (0.0%). A significant 15.8% of respondents answered "don't know" or "didn't answer."

This periodic survey involved 1,200 respondents through face-to-face interviews conducted from April 29 to May 10, 2023. Respondents were randomly selected using a stratified systematic sampling method across 38 provinces.

The survey's margin of error is estimated at 2.83% with a 95% confidence level, assuming simple random sampling. The survey was fully funded by Harian Kompas (PT Kompas Media Nusantara).

Editor : Erlina Fury Santika

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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Political Parties, Including Those That Failed to Meet the Parliamentary Threshold, According to Kompas Research and Development (Litbang Kompas)

Political Parties, Including Those That Failed to Meet the Parliamentary Threshold, According to Kompas Research and Development (Litbang Kompas)

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Political Parties, Including Those That Failed to Meet the Parliamentary Threshold, According to Kompas Research and Development (Litbang Kompas)

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