Denny JA's LSI: Most Citizens Didn't Change Their Choice After Watching the 2024 Presidential Debate

According to a report by the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) Denny JA, 46.9% of respondents watched the first 2024 Presidential Election debate on December 22, 2023.

Of those who watched, 70.5% only watched parts of the debate, and 29.3% claimed to have watched the entire debate.

"If we multiply those who watched (46.9%) by those who watched the entire debate (29.3%), only 13.7% of the population watched the full debate," said LSI Denny JA Senior Researcher Ardian Sopa in an online press conference on Thursday (18/1/2024).

So, could watching the second debate change respondents' choices?

The LSI Denny JA survey shows that the majority, or 74.6% of respondents, said they did not change their preferred presidential and vice-presidential candidates after watching the second debate on January 7, 2024.

Meanwhile, 18.5% of respondents changed their choice after watching the debate a few weeks ago.

Based on these survey results, LSI Denny JA recalculated the number of respondents who watched the entire debate (13.7%) with the respondents who changed their choices (18.5%).

As a result, only 2.5% of respondents changed their support after watching the 2024 Presidential Election debate.

"The three presidential and vice-presidential debates have only had a very small impact on electability changes, totaling less than 3%," said Ardi.

This LSI Denny JA survey involved 1,200 respondents from various regions of Indonesia. The sample was selected using a multistage random sampling method.

Data collection was conducted from January 3-11, 2024, using face-to-face interviews with questionnaires. The survey has a margin of error of approximately 2.9% and a 95% confidence level.

The General Election Commission (KPU) will hold the fourth 2024 Presidential Election debate at the Jakarta Convention Center (JCC), Jakarta, on Sunday (21/1/2024).

This debate will feature the three vice-presidential candidates, Muhaimin Iskandar, Gibran Rakabuming Raka, and Mahfud MD, presenting their ideas on Sustainable Development and the Environment, Natural Resources and Energy, Food, Agrarian Affairs, Indigenous Peoples, and Villages.

(See also: Kompas Research and Development: Ganjar Most Satisfying to the Public in the Third Presidential Debate)