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These are the least accurate polling agencies in the Jakarta gubernatorial election.

06/03/2017 09:41 WIB

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The Largest Discrepancy Between Political Survey Institutes and the KPU's Real Count in the 2017 Jakarta Gubernatorial Election

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The Largest Discrepancy Between Political Survey Institutes and the KPU's Real Count in the 2017 Jakarta Gubernatorial Election

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Indonesia Watch for Democracy (IWD) cited three survey institutions as having the least accurate results in the Jakarta gubernatorial election survey. These three institutions are the Indonesian Political Studies Institute (LKPI), the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) Denny JA, and the Potential Research Group (GRP).

The accuracy of these three institutions was the lowest, with GRP ranking last and exhibiting the largest margin of error, at 22.46 percent. This figure was obtained by averaging the difference between the results of surveys conducted around the same time (late January to early February) and the KPU's *real count*.

These three institutions also incorrectly predicted the winner of the Jakarta gubernatorial election. LSI Denny JA and GRP favored the Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono-Sylviana Murni pairing. Meanwhile, LKPI favored the Anies Baswedan-Sandiaga Uno pairing.

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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These are the least accurate polling agencies in the Jakarta gubernatorial election.

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These are the least accurate polling agencies in the Jakarta gubernatorial election.

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