Denny JA's LSI: Prabowo's Electability Drops After 212 Reunion

The LSI Denny JA survey institute released its latest findings on Wednesday (19/12) under the title "The Presidential Candidate Race After the 212 Reunion." The results show that after the 212 Reunion, the electability of the two pairs, Prabowo Subianto-Sandiaga Uno (Prabowo-Sandiaga) and Joko Widodo-Ma'ruf Amin (Jokowi-Maruf), who will compete in the 2019 presidential election, has not changed significantly.

The electability of the Prabowo-Sandiaga pair even dropped to 30.6% from the previous 31.2% and still lags behind their competitor by approximately 20%. According to the survey, the 212 Reunion failed to boost the votes for the pair with number 02 because the majority of voters who attended the 212 Reunion and support a Pancasila-based Islamic state (NKRI syariah) as envisioned by Habib Rizieq are a minority. Furthermore, there are more voters who support the 212 Reunion and also prefer Jokowi. Meanwhile, the electability of the Jokowi-Ma'ruf pair increased to 54.2% from the previous 53.2%.

(Read Databoks: Where Did Jokowi Win in the 2014 Presidential Election?)

The survey was conducted from December 5-12, 2018, involving 1,200 respondents using multistage random sampling and face-to-face interviews with questionnaires. The margin of error is +/- 2.8%.

(Read Databoks: Why Will Central Java Be the Focus of Prabowo-Sandiaga's Campaign?)