The 2019 Prabowo-Sandi Voter Trend: Prabowo's Support Strengthens, Ganjar's Weakens

The Charta Politika survey gathered votes from Prabowo-Sandiaga Uno's 2019 Presidential election supporters to gauge their support for three potential candidates in a 2024 Presidential election simulation. The three candidates presented were Prabowo Subianto, Anies Baswedan, and Ganjar Pranowo.

The results show that Prabowo-Sandi voters predominantly supported Prabowo Subianto. Over three survey periods, support for the Gerindra Party chairman reached 45% of the 2019 Prabowo-Sandi voters in February 2023.

This was followed by 44% in April 2023 and 53% in May 2023.

Meanwhile, support for Anies Baswedan was 39% in February 2023, 42% in April 2023, and 34% in May 2023.

Support for Ganjar Pranowo was the lowest among the Prabowo-Sandi base, showing a downward trend in each survey period: 11% in February 2023, 9% in April 2023, and 8% in May 2023.

A portion of Prabowo-Sandi voters remained undecided or unwilling to disclose their choice (TT/TJ): 4% in February 2023, 5% in April 2023, and 5% in May 2023.

Overall, in the presidential candidate simulation, Ganjar, Prabowo, and Anies were the top three choices.

Ganjar received the most votes, at 38.2% of total respondents. Prabowo was second with 31.1%, and Anies Baswedan was third with 23.6%.

The survey involved 1,220 respondents aged 17 or older (eligible voters) spread across all Indonesian provinces.

Using a multistage random sampling method, the survey's margin of error was 2.82%. Face-to-face interviews were conducted from May 2-7, 2023.