Survey Indicators: PDI-P Strongest, PSI Potentially Fails to Enter Parliament

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Cindy Mutia Annur 02/10/2023 17:01 WIB

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According to a survey by Indikator Politik Indonesia, the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) remains the strongest party in terms of electability as of August 2023, while the United Devel

Electability of 18 Political Parties Participating in the 2024 General Election According to Indikator Survey (August-September 2023)

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Survey Indicators: PDI-P Strongest, PSI Potentially Fails to Enter Parliament

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Electability of 18 Political Parties Participating in the 2024 General Election According to Indikator Survey (August-September 2023)

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According to a survey by Indikator Politik Indonesia, the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDIP) remains the political party with the strongest electability at present.

Several political parties are predicted to fail to meet the parliamentary threshold if the DPR (House of Representatives) elections were held between late August and early September 2023.

According to Law Number 7 of 2017, Articles 414 and 415, political parties must obtain a minimum of 4% of the total national valid votes to secure seats in the DPR.

Based on the Indikator survey, the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDIP) received 26% of respondent support, far exceeding the threshold and significantly outperforming other parties.

The second position is held by the Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra) with 12.6% of the vote, followed by the Golkar Party with 9.2%.

"The PDIP is the highest. The graph clearly shows that the PDIP stands out, its graph is the longest," said Hendro Prasetyo, the lead researcher at Indikator Politik Indonesia, as quoted by Katadata.co.id on Monday (2/10/2023).

Next, in fourth place is the National Awakening Party (PKB) with 7.5% electability, followed by the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) with 5.2%, the Democratic Party with 5.1%, the NasDem Party with 4.8%, and the National Mandate Party (PAN) with 4.5%.

Besides the parties mentioned above, other participating parties in the 2024 General Election received less than 4% of the vote, failing to meet the threshold for entering parliament.

According to the Indikator Politik Indonesia survey, the parties that failed to meet the threshold are the United Development Party (PPP) with 2.4% of the vote, the Indonesian Unity Party (Perindo) with 1.9%, and the Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI) with 0.8%.

Furthermore, the Hanura Party received only 0.3%, Garuda 0.3%, Gelora 0.2%, the Crescent Star Party (PBB) 0.1%, the Labor Party 0.1%, while the Ummat Party and the Nusantara Awakening Party (PKN) both received 0%. 19% of respondents remained undecided.

The Indikator survey also found that a significant number of respondents chose parties due to habit.

"Generally, at least one-third of our findings show that people choose a party out of habit. Either because they are used to it, or their family, or their environment is used to choosing that party," said Hendro.

However, Hendro acknowledged that these survey results do not yet reflect the political dynamics of the last month, such as the Democrat Party joining Prabowo Subianto's supporting coalition, and the appointment of Kaesang Pangarep as the Chairman of the PSI.

The Indikator Politik Indonesia survey involved 1,200 respondents proportionally distributed across all Indonesian provinces.

However, the survey conducted oversampling in 10 provinces. Specifically, additional samples were taken from North Sumatra, DKI Jakarta, West Java, Central Java, East Java, and Banten, resulting in 400 respondents from each province.

South Sumatra and Lampung each had an increase to 350 respondents, while Jambi and Bangka Belitung each had 300 respondents, resulting in a total sample of 4,090 respondents.

This survey was conducted through face-to-face interviews from August 25 to September 3, 2023. The margin of error is 2.9% with a 95% confidence level.

Editor : Adi Ahdiat

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."