Indo Barometer: Ganjar Pranowo and Taj Yasin Lead in Central Java Gubernatorial Election

Based on the Indo Barometer survey, the gubernatorial candidate pair Ganjar Pranowo-Taj Yasin is leading in the 2018 Central Java Provincial Head Election. On June 27, 2018, simultaneous regional elections will be held, encompassing 171 regions consisting of 17 provinces, 39 municipalities, and 115 regencies.

Using a sample ballot simulation, the Ganjar-Yasin pair secured 67.3% of the vote, significantly outperforming their rivals, Sudirman Said-Ida Fauziyah, who only received 21.1% of the vote. The remaining 11.6% of respondents did not mark the ballot. The high electability of the incumbent governor is attributed to the 70.1% public satisfaction rate with Ganjar Pranowo's performance. The same survey also revealed that 67.3% of the public want Ganjar Pranowo to lead the Central Java Regional Government for the 2018-2023 period. 18.5% do not want him to, while the remainder did not answer/did not know.

The survey was conducted from June 7-13, 2018, involving 800 respondents spread across 35 regencies/cities in Central Java. A multistage random sampling method was used with a margin of error of approximately 3.46% and a 95% confidence level.