Indobarometer Survey: Jokowi-Ma'ruf Lead Prabowo-Sandi by 18.8%

The latest Indo Barometer survey, released on Tuesday (April 2nd, 2019), shows that the presidential/vice-presidential pair numbered 01, Jokowi-Ma'ruf, holds a significant lead of 18.8% over their opponent, Prabowo-Sandi (number 02). The incumbent president's electability reached 50.8%, while Prabowo-Sandi garnered only 32%. A previous survey (February) showed Jokowi-Ma'ruf with an electability of 50.2%, compared to their opponent's 28.9%.

Jokowi's lead is evident in several indicators. These include majority public satisfaction with President Jokowi's performance, a higher assessment of the incumbent's individual qualities, and the majority of voters considering Jokowi to better represent the aspirations of Muslims compared to his opponent, Prabowo.

(See Databoks: Kompas Survey: Prabowo-Sandi's Electability Surpasses Jokowi-Ma'ruf in Sumatra)

The national Indo Barometer survey was conducted from March 15th to 21st, 2019, involving 1,200 respondents from 34 provinces. A multistage random sampling method was used, with face-to-face interviews employing questionnaires. The margin of error is +/- 2.83% with a 95% confidence level.