SMRC Survey: Ganjar's Electability Rebounds, Prabowo and Anies Decline

Cindy Mutia Annur 24/08/2023 19:27 WIB

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The latest SMRC survey shows Ganjar Pranowo's electability as a presidential candidate rebounding to first place. Meanwhile, Prabowo Subianto and Anies Baswedan have declined.

Electability Trend of Three Potential Presidential Candidates (July-August 2023)

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SMRC Survey: Ganjar's Electability Rebounds, Prabowo and Anies Decline

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Electability Trend of Three Potential Presidential Candidates (July-August 2023)

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A recent survey by Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting (SMRC) shows that Ganjar Pranowo's electability as a prospective presidential candidate (bacapres) has rebounded to first place. Meanwhile, the electability of his two main competitors, Prabowo Subianto and Anies Baswedan, has decreased.

In a closed three-name simulation, Ganjar's electability rose from 30.8% to 35.9%, the highest among the three. He is followed by Prabowo, whose electability dropped from 37.8% to 33.6%, and Anies, whose electability also fell from 21.2% to 20.4%, placing him third.

Another 10.1% of respondents were undecided or did not answer.

"In the late April survey, after Ganjar's nomination by the PDI Perjuangan, his electability briefly strengthened to 39.2%, then weakened to 30.8% (in July) before rebounding to 35.9% in the latest survey," said SMRC Research Director Deni in a press conference on SMRC TV's YouTube channel on Wednesday, August 23, 2023.

The decrease in Ganjar's electability in July 2023 was partly due to the Governor of Central Java's refusal to allow the Israeli national football team to enter the country, which led to Indonesia losing its status as host of the U-20 World Cup.

As a result, Prabowo briefly surpassed Ganjar after that event. However, Ganjar's electability trend is now slowly showing an increase again.

In line with the increase in Ganjar's electability, there has been a decrease in the electability of Prabowo and Anies. This is shown in the graph above.

The SMRC survey was conducted from July 31 to August 11, 2023, involving 4,260 respondents from across Indonesia through face-to-face interviews. The sample was drawn using stratified multistage random sampling, with a margin of error of approximately 1.65% at a 95% confidence level.

Editor : Erlina Fury Santika

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."