PRC Poll Simulation: Anies-Cak Imin Trail in East Java

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Nabilah Muhamad 18/09/2023 16:04 WIB

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According to a PRC survey, the Ganjar-Ridwan Kamil pairing achieved the highest electability rating in a simulation of three prospective presidential and vice-presidential candidate pairs in East Java

Closed Simulation Electability of 3 Potential Presidential and Vice-Presidential Candidate Pairs: RPC Survey (September 2023)

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PRC Poll Simulation: Anies-Cak Imin Trail in East Java

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Closed Simulation Electability of 3 Potential Presidential and Vice-Presidential Candidate Pairs: RPC Survey (September 2023)

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Politika Research & Consulting (PRC) conducted a closed simulation survey of three prospective presidential (capres) and vice-presidential (cawapres) candidate pairs in September 2023. These pairs included Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar (or Cak Imin), Prabowo Subianto-Erick Thohir, and Ganjar Pranowo-Ridwan Kamil.

The results showed that the Ganjar-Ridwan Kamil pair achieved the highest electability in East Java, at 40.3%. They were followed by Prabowo-Erick Thohir, who received 30.8% of respondent votes.

Meanwhile, the Anies-Muhaimin pair, who have declared their candidacy under the AMIN coalition, only managed to garner 18.6% of the vote from respondents in East Java.

(Also read: History of PKB Votes in East Java and Nationally Since the 1999 Election: Could it Boost Anies?)

On the other hand, 4.7% of respondents were still undecided. Another 5.7% stated they did not know or did not answer.

PRC also conducted an electability survey of the three prospective presidential candidates. As a result, Ganjar still received the highest vote in East Java, at 40.4%.

Below him was Prabowo, who achieved an electability of 32.2%. Anies was in third place with 18.3% of the vote from respondents in East Java.

"The survey we conducted shows that Ganjar Pranowo still surpasses the other two; Prabowo and Anies," said PRC Executive Director Rio Prayogo in an online presentation on Sunday, September 17, 2023.

This survey, titled "East Java Political Map Post-'AMIN' Pair Declaration," involved 1,200 respondents aged 17 and above or who were married. The sample was taken proportionally from 38 regencies/cities in East Java.

Data collection was conducted a few days after the Anies-Muhaimin declaration, from September 7-12, 2023, through face-to-face interviews. The survey has a margin of error of approximately 2.7% and a confidence level of 95%.

(Also read: 5 Strongest Political Parties in East Java in the 2019 Election)

Editor : Erlina Fury Santika

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."