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Electability of Gubernatorial Candidate Pairs in the Second Round of the DKI Jakarta Pilkada According to the SMRC Survey
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Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting (SMRC) released findings from its latest survey conducted ahead of the second round of the Jakarta gubernatorial election. The results show a slight lead in electability for the Anies Rasyid Baswedan-Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno pair over the Basuki Tjahaja Purnama (Ahok)-Djarot Saiful Hidayat pair. Anies-Sandi's electability rating reached 47.9 percent, while Ahok-Djarot obtained 46.9 percent. The remainder were undecided.
This survey used a sample size of 800 people, selected using stratified systematic random sampling. However, only 446 (55.8 percent) of the respondents could be validly interviewed and further analyzed. The survey was conducted from March 31 to April 5, 2017, using face-to-face interviews. The margin of error is estimated at 4.7 percent, and the confidence level is 95 percent, assuming simple random sampling.
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