Only 8 Parties Qualify for the House of Representatives in the October 2023 LSI Election Simulation

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Erlina Fury Santika 20/10/2023 17:28 WIB

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In an LSI simulation of 18 parties in the DPR elections, only 8 political parties passed the parliamentary threshold.

Electability of Political Parties Above the Parliamentary Threshold in an 18-Party Simulation by LSI (October 19, 2023)

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Only 8 Parties Qualify for the House of Representatives in the October 2023 LSI Election Simulation

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Electability of Political Parties Above the Parliamentary Threshold in an 18-Party Simulation by LSI (October 19, 2023)

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The Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) survey results show that only 8 political parties passed the parliamentary threshold (PT) in a simulation of 18 political parties for the 2024 General Election.

The threshold, as stipulated in Law Number 7/2017, is 4% of the national valid votes. This is the minimum requirement for a political party to place its representatives in the House of Representatives (DPR) or Regional Representative Council (DPRD).

Based on this, the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDIP) garnered the most votes, at 26.1%. Previously, PDIP also topped the list of highest vote shares in the August 2023 LSI survey at 25.4%.

The following are the vote shares of the 8 political parties deemed to have passed the parliamentary threshold:

* PDIP 26.1%
* Gerindra 14.4%
* Golkar 9.7%
* PKB 7.6%
* NasDem 7%
* PKS 6%
* Democrat 4.3%
* PAN 4.2%

"Meanwhile, other parties received lower support. 14.9% did not answer," wrote LSI in a written report published on Thursday (19/10/2023).

In addition, 10 parties received votes below the parliamentary threshold (4%), including:

* PPP 2.5%
* Perindo 1.3%
* PSI 0.8%
* Hanura 0.4%
* Ummat 0.2%
* Gelora 0.2%
* PBB 0.2%
* Garuda 0.1%
* Buruh 0%
* PKN 0%

This survey was conducted on 1,620 Indonesian citizens who have the right to vote in the election (aged 17 or older, or married at the time of the survey).

Respondents were selected using a multistage random sampling method. The margin of error is approximately 2.5% with a 95% confidence level, assuming simple random sampling.

Respondents were interviewed face-to-face by trained interviewers. Data was collected from October 2-8, 2023.

Editor : Erlina Fury Santika

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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Only 8 Parties Qualify for the House of Representatives in the October 2023 LSI Election Simulation

Only 8 Parties Qualify for the House of Representatives in the October 2023 LSI Election Simulation

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