LSI Survey: Prabowo's Electability Beats Ganjar and Anies

According to the Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) report, the electability of Gerindra Party Chairman Prabowo Subianto as a prospective presidential candidate surpasses that of Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo and former Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan. This survey is based on open-ended questions or "top of mind" responses.

"The highest top-of-mind choice is Mr. Prabowo Subianto, followed by Ganjar Pranowo, and then Anies Baswedan," said LSI Executive Director Djayadi Hanan in a virtual press conference on the LSI YouTube channel on Wednesday (3/5/2023).

Prabowo's electability was recorded at 18.3%. Ganjar's electability was 16.2%, and Anies's was 13.1%.

Djayadi stated that Prabowo's electability has been strengthening since January 2023. Meanwhile, he continued, Ganjar's electability experienced a decline during the February-April 2023 period, although it strengthened again in the latest survey.

"Meanwhile, Anies, compared to January 2023, has actually tended to see a strengthening (in his electability). However, the strengthening is not as high as that of Mr. Prabowo. Therefore, Prabowo is number one, Ganjar is number two, and Anies is number three," said Djayadi.

On the other hand, President Joko Widodo, also known as Jokowi, is ranked fourth with an electability of 6.8%.

According to Djayadi, Jokowi's appearance is due to the relatively high public satisfaction with the current government's performance. However, he continued, the public also knows that the president can only serve two terms, so Jokowi's name is not included in the top three.

The following are the electability rates of prospective presidential candidates based on top-of-mind responses, according to the LSI survey results:

1. Prabowo Subianto: 18.3%
2. Ganjar Pranowo: 16.2%
3. Anies Baswedan: 13.1%
4. Jokowi: 6.8%
5. Ridwan Kamil: 1.8%
6. Mahfud MD: 0.8%
7. Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno: 0.6%
8. Erick Thohir: 0.5%
9. Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono: 0.5%
10. Gibran Rakabuming Raka: 0.4%
11. Najwa Shihab: 0.3%
12. Tri Rismaharini: 0.3%
13. Hary Tanoesoedibjo: 0.3%
14. Airlangga Hartarto: 0.3%
15. Basuki Tjahaja Purnama: 0.2%
16. Puan Maharani: 0.2%
17. Surya Paloh: 0.2%
18. Andika Perkasa: 0.2%
19. Syeh Said Iqbal: 0.1%
20. Khofifah Indar Parawansa: 0.1%
21. Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono: 0.1%
22. Sri Mulyani Indrawati: 0%
23. Moeldoko: 0%
24. Anis Matta: 0%
25. Megawati Soekarnoputri: 0%

The LSI survey involved 1,220 respondents aged 17 years and older or already married, from April 12-17, 2023. Selected respondents were interviewed face-to-face by trained interviewers.

Sample selection was conducted randomly (multistage random sampling) with a margin of error of approximately 2.9% and a 95% confidence level, assuming simple random sampling.