Prabowo's Electability Leads Ganjar in a Head-to-Head Matchup

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Cindy Mutia Annur 03/10/2023 18:15 WIB

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According to the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) Denny JA, presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto is ahead of Ganjar Pranowo in a head-to-head presidential election simulation.

Presidential Candidate Electability in a Simulated One-on-One Presidential Election (September 2023)

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Prabowo's Electability Leads Ganjar in a Head-to-Head Matchup

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Presidential Candidate Electability in a Simulated One-on-One Presidential Election (September 2023)

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To date, three prospective presidential candidates (bacapres) are expected to compete in the 2024 General Election: Prabowo Subianto, Ganjar Pranowo, and Anies Baswedan.

According to the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) Denny JA, in a head-to-head matchup between Prabowo and Ganjar, Prabowo would emerge as the winner.

Based on the LSI Denny JA survey, in a one-on-one simulation, Prabowo achieved an electability rating of 52.3%, while Ganjar received 44.2%. Only 3.5% of respondents were undecided or did not answer in this simulation.

"In the head-to-head simulation of Prabowo versus Ganjar, the difference is approximately 8.1%," said LSI Denny JA researcher Adjie Alfaraby in an online press conference on the LSI Denny JA YouTube channel, Monday (3/10/2023).

According to Adjie, the 8.1% difference is a significant margin in a presidential election. He noted that in the 2014 and 2019 presidential elections, the difference in votes between the presidential candidates also ranged from 8% to 9%.

"However, since the (2024) Presidential Election is still five months away, this 8.1% difference is not necessarily insurmountable. This means that significant changes are still possible in the next five months," said Adjie.

This survey was conducted from September 4-12, 2023, involving 1,200 respondents across Indonesia. The survey sample was selected using a multi-stage random sampling method.

Data collection was conducted through face-to-face interviews using questionnaires. The survey has a margin of error of approximately 2.9%.

Editor : Adi Ahdiat

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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Prabowo's Electability Leads Ganjar in a Head-to-Head Matchup

Prabowo's Electability Leads Ganjar in a Head-to-Head Matchup

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Prabowo's Electability Leads Ganjar in a Head-to-Head Matchup

Prabowo's Electability Leads Ganjar in a Head-to-Head Matchup

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