Denny JA's LSI: Prabowo-Gibran Have Highest Electability, Anies-Cak Imin Lowest

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Nabilah Muhamad 25/10/2023 11:55 WIB

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According to a survey by LSI Denny JA, the Prabowo-Gibran presidential candidate pair achieved the highest electability in September 2023, while the Anies-Muhaimin pair achieved the lowest.

Electability of Three Presidential and Vice-Presidential Candidate Pairs According to LSI Denny JA (September 2023)

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Denny JA's LSI: Prabowo-Gibran Have Highest Electability, Anies-Cak Imin Lowest

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Electability of Three Presidential and Vice-Presidential Candidate Pairs According to LSI Denny JA (September 2023)

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According to the Denny JA Indonesia Survey Circle (LSI), the presidential candidate (capres) and vice-presidential candidate (cawapres) pair of Prabowo Subianto and Gibran Rakabuming Raka holds the highest electability.

In a three-pair simulation survey, the capres-cawapres pair nominated by the United Indonesia Coalition (KIM) achieved an electability rating of 39.3%.

This result is closely followed by the Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD pair, which garnered 36.9% of respondent votes.

Meanwhile, the Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin) pair lagged significantly behind with a 15% electability rating.

Only 8.8% of respondents stated they did not know or did not answer the survey questions.

Based on these survey results, LSI Denny JA concludes that no candidate pair is guaranteed to win in a single round.

"No pair can ensure victory in a single round. This means that (the vote share) of each is still below 50%," said Hanggoro Doso Pamungkas, a researcher at LSI Denny JA, during an online presentation of the survey on Tuesday (24/10/2023).

LSI Denny JA also conducted a head-to-head simulation between Prabowo-Gibran and Ganjar-Mahfud.

Prabowo-Gibran emerged victorious with 52.5% of the vote, while Ganjar-Mahfud received 44.4% of respondent votes.

"This is highly possible, in the second round (of the 2024 Election) these two pairs will compete, considering that these two pairs have consistently been leading in recent surveys," said Hanggoro.

The survey involved 1,200 respondents from various regions across Indonesia. The sample was selected using a multistage random sampling method.

Data was collected from September 4-12, 2023, using face-to-face interviews with questionnaires. The survey has a margin of error of 2.9%.

(See also: Prabowo-Gibran Most Chosen After Constitutional Court Decision in LSI Survey)

Editor : Adi Ahdiat

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."