Kompas Research and Development: Airin, Strongest Candidate for Banten Governor in 2024 Election
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Based on a Kompas Research and Development survey, Airin Rachmi Diany is considered suitable to be a prospective gubernatorial candidate for Banten in the 2024 Regional Elections. The two-term Mayor of South Tangerang (2011-2021) received 38.3% of the vote from respondents.
Next is Wahidin Halim, the Governor of Banten from 2017-2022, who was chosen by 18.1% of respondents. Another name, Rano Karno, Governor of Banten from 2015-2017, received 16.5% of the vote.
Furthermore, Arief Wismansyah, Mayor of Tangerang from 2013-2018, received 6.9% of the vote from respondents. He is followed by Irna Narulita (3.7%), Iti Octavia Jayabaya (3.7%), Achmad Dimyati Natakusumah (2.7%), and Ahmed Zaki Iskandar (2.7%).
In addition, the survey asked Banten respondents what factors they considered when choosing a governor.
The majority, or 81.8% of respondents, stated they would consider a candidate of the same religion. Then, 80.5% of respondents chose a candidate supported by religious figures or ulama (Islamic scholars).
“This unique manifestation of the intertwining of religious beliefs and local traditions further makes Banten's politics dynamic,” wrote the Kompas Research and Development researcher in their report on Monday, July 15, 2024.
This Kompas Research and Development survey involved 400 respondents randomly selected using a stratified systematic sampling method in Banten Province.
Data collection was conducted from June 15-20, 2024, through face-to-face interviews. The margin of error is approximately 4.9% with a 95% confidence level, under conditions of simple random sampling.
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