Based on the results of a survey by Indikator Politik Indonesia, the electability of prospective presidential candidates (bacapres) for the 2024 Presidential Election in Jakarta is led by Anies Baswedan. The electability of the former Governor of Jakarta surpasses that of Gerindra Chairman Prabowo Subianto and Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo.
Indikator Politik Indonesia Executive Director Burhanuddin Muhtadi stated that Anies' electability was recorded at 28% in the open-ended question simulation (top of mind). Ganjar's electability was 21.3%, and Prabowo's was 11%.
"As a presidential candidate, Anies is leading in the top-of-mind simulation in Jakarta. However, Anies' electability tends to be stagnant, while Ganjar's and Prabowo's are increasing," said Burhanuddin in a virtual press conference on the Indikator Politik Indonesia YouTube channel on Thursday (May 11, 2023).
According to the results of three previous Indikator surveys (April 2022, July 2022, and February-March 2023), Anies had electability of 27.1%, 27%, and 28%, respectively.
During the same periods, Ganjar's electability rose from 15.1% to 16.9% and then to 21.3%. Prabowo's electability, on the other hand, dropped from 8.9% to 7.4% before rising again to 11%.
Despite his lead in Jakarta, Burhanuddin believes Anies should remain vigilant. This is especially considering the upward trend in Ganjar's and Prabowo's electability in the capital city.
"So, Anies must be prepared, even though this is his base (in Jakarta), but Ganjar, in particular, is starting to move, and Prabowo is also starting to move, while other figures are less visible," said Burhanuddin.
In this top-of-mind simulation, several other names emerged, but with lower electability than the three figures mentioned above. These include President Joko Widodo (Jokowi), West Java Governor Ridwan Kamil, and PDI-P Chairwoman Megawati Soekarnoputri.
This survey was conducted through face-to-face interviews with 2,060 respondents in Jakarta aged 17 years or older, or who were married, between February 24 and March 3, 2023. Sample selection was conducted using multistage random sampling, with a margin of error of approximately 3.5% at a 95% confidence level.