The Charta Politika research institute has released the results of its latest survey on the electability of presidential (presidential candidates) and vice-presidential (vice-presidential candidates) candidates.
The results show that the electability of the number 3 pairing, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD, strengthened in January 2024, approximately one month before the election scheduled for February 14, 2024.
Charta Politika analyst, Nachrudin, stated that Ganjar-Mahfud's electability rose from 26.5% in December 2023 to 28% in January 2024.
"In the January 2024 survey, the (electability of) Ganjar-Mahfud showed a slight rebound. This may be due to the recent presidential debate. There was also an increase in the (electability of) the Anies-Muhaimin pairing," said Nachrudin in an online press conference on Sunday (21/1/2024).
The electability of the number 1 pairing, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, reached 26.7% in January 2024, up from 26.3% the previous month.
On the other hand, the electability of the number 2 pairing, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, fell from 43.8% to 42.2% in the same period.
"Prabowo-Gibran's electability has not shown a significant increase. The decrease from 43.8% to 42.2% is still within the margin of error. So, there is stagnation for Prabowo and Gibran," said Nachrudin.
The Charta Politika survey also recorded the reasons why people chose particular presidential and vice-presidential candidates. The results show that the majority, or 24.8% of respondents, chose a particular candidate pair because they possess a down-to-earth character or show concern for the people.
The next most frequent reasons were decisiveness or authority (18.2%), intelligence or education (12%), and honesty or cleanliness from corruption, collusion, and nepotism (11.3%).
The survey involved 1,220 respondents aged 17 or older, or already married at the time of the survey. The sample was randomly selected using a multistage random sampling method.
Data collection was conducted from January 4-11, 2024, using face-to-face interviews. The survey has a margin of error of approximately 2.82% and a confidence level of 95%.