Khofifah-Emil Could Win Again in the 2024 East Java Gubernatorial Election, According to ARCI

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Erlina Fury Santika 03/11/2023 14:13 WIB

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The ARCI poll shows that incumbent Khofifah and Emil have the highest electability among other names in the East Java gubernatorial/regional head election simulation.

Electability of 9 Figures in a Simulated 2024 East Java Regional Head Election: ARCI Survey Version (October 2023)

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Khofifah-Emil Could Win Again in the 2024 East Java Gubernatorial Election, According to ARCI

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Electability of 9 Figures in a Simulated 2024 East Java Regional Head Election: ARCI Survey Version (October 2023)

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Accurate Research and Consulting Indonesia (ARCI), a survey institution, suggests that Khofifah Indar Parawansa has the potential to win the 2024 East Java gubernatorial election again, especially if she continues her partnership with her first-term deputy, Emil Elestianto Dardak.

This potential victory is evident in ARCI's simulation of the 2024 East Java regional elections. Khofifah garnered the highest number of votes in East Java, with 35.6% of respondents supporting her. Her deputy, Emil Dardak, followed in second place with 19.4%.

Other candidates included Ahmad Fauzi (17.3%), Eri Cahyadi (5.7%), Sarmuji (5.3%), Anwar Sadad (4.4%), Saifullah Yusuf (Gus Ipul) (4.3%), Adul Halim Iskandar (Gus Halim) (3.2%), and Heru Tjahjono (2.7%).

ARCI's release did not disclose the percentage of respondents who answered "don't know" or "didn't answer."

Beyond the 2024 election simulation, ARCI also surveyed respondent satisfaction with Khofifah and Emil's performance, a factor that could boost their chances.

"82.1% of East Java residents are satisfied with Khofifah's performance, and 81.7% are satisfied with Emil's performance," said ARCI Director Baihaki Sirajt in an official statement to Antara on Thursday (2/11/2023).

Baihaki further explained that if Khofifah confirms her candidacy for the East Java gubernatorial election, her electability could surge. Especially since Khofifah is almost certain not to run in the 2024 Presidential Election, increasing her chances for a second term.

Furthermore, Baihaki views Emil Dardak as the most potential candidate to partner with Khofifah, possessing 35.2% electability as a prospective deputy governor.

"If Khofifah and Emil pair up again, their chances of winning the 2024 East Java regional election are very high. To date, no other candidate comes close," he said.

The ARCI survey targeted 1,200 respondents proportionally distributed across 38 regencies/cities in East Java, using a multistage random sampling method.

The survey's margin of error is 2.8%, with a 95% confidence level. Data was collected from October 22-27, 2023.

Editor : Erlina Fury Santika

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."