Rising Uncertainty, World Bank Boosts 2025 Gold Price Projection

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Adi Ahdiat 02/05/2025 14:00 WIB

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The World Bank has revised its 2025 gold price projection upward, citing increased policy uncertainty and global trade tensions.

Average Global Gold Price Projection per Year (2015-2025)*

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Average Global Gold Price Projection per Year (2015-2025)*

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The World Bank has revised its gold price projection for this year upward from last year's forecast.

Previously, in the *Commodity Markets Outlook* October 2024 edition, the World Bank projected the average gold price for 2025 to be only US$2,325 per troy ounce, down from 2024.

However, in the April 2025 edition of the *Commodity Markets Outlook*, the average price is now projected to rise to US$3,250 per troy ounce, as shown in the graph.

"The gold price in 2025 is expected to be approximately 150% higher than the average price during the 2015-2019 period," stated the World Bank in the April 2025 *Commodity Markets Outlook*.

"This is supported by strong demand for safe haven assets, amid increasing policy uncertainty, financial volatility, trade tensions, and increased central bank holdings," it continued.

The World Bank estimates that the average gold price throughout 2025 will increase by approximately 36% (year-on-year). However, the increase could be higher if geopolitical tensions escalate.

"Increased policy uncertainty and trade tensions, a weakening US dollar, increased financial volatility, and worsening conflicts could push precious metal prices beyond current projections," said the World Bank.

"Increased geopolitical tensions could drive gold demand, not only from the private sector but also from central banks," it added.

Editor : Adi Ahdiat

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."