Based on Jakarta Interbank Spot Dollar Rate (JISDOR) data from Bank Indonesia (BI), the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) closed at 16,833 per United States dollar (USD) on Thursday (April 18, 2025).
This represents a slight strengthening of 0.07% compared to Wednesday's (August 17, 2025) rate of 16,845 per USD. Despite this slight strengthening, the Rupiah remains under pressure from the ongoing trade war between the US and China.
"President Trump's tariff policies remain a major issue that is putting pressure on risky assets. The tariff war between the two major economies, the US and China, is a market concern," said Ariston Tjendra, a money market observer, to Katadata on Thursday morning (April 17, 2025).
US President Donald Trump has again raised reciprocal import tariffs for China from 125% to as high as 245%. In response, Chinese representatives have stated they are not afraid of a trade war.
The Fed's Governor, Jerome Powell, implicitly expressed concerns on Tuesday (April 16, 2025) about the impact of Trump's tariff policies on rising prices in the US. Ariston mentioned the possibility that the US central bank will not cut interest rates further.
"This is also putting pressure on the Rupiah against the US dollar," said Ariston.
He explained that gold's movement, breaking its all-time high above US$3,300 per troy ounce, indicates high market interest in safe haven assets. This is putting pressure on riskier asset classes, including the Rupiah.
Limited Potential for Rupiah Strengthening
Lukman Leong, an analyst at Doo Financial Futures, believes the Rupiah still has the potential to strengthen against the US dollar. "The US dollar is still under pressure from concerns surrounding Trump's tariff policies and the dovish stance in Powell's speech," said Lukman.
However, he added that this strengthening will be limited by risk-off sentiment in the equity market and weak domestic sentiment. Lukman projects the Rupiah will move between Rp16,750 per USD and Rp16,850 per USD.
(Read Katadata: [US-China Trade War Heats Up, Rupiah Potentially Under Continued Pressure](https://katadata.co.id/finansial/makro/68006eced282b/perang-dagang-as-cina-makin-memanas-rupiah-berpotensi-terus-tertekan))