Coal: Indonesia's Largest Emission Source in the 2025-2034 Energy Transition Scenario

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Adi Ahdiat 09/07/2025 17:50 WIB

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Indonesia has an energy transition acceleration scenario called Accelerated Renewable Energy Development (ARED). In this scenario, coal remains the largest source of greenhouse gas emissions.

Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Indonesian Power Plants by Energy Source (2025-2034)*

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Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Indonesian Power Plants by Energy Source (2025-2034)*

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In an accelerated energy transition scenario, coal remains Indonesia's largest source of greenhouse gas emissions.

This is evident from the Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) 2025-2034 document, published by the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources in June 2025.

According to this document, the Indonesian government currently has an accelerated energy transition scenario called Accelerated Renewable Energy Development (ARED).

ARED contains targets for reducing fossil fuels and adding more renewable energy (EBT) that are more progressive than the normal scenario. However, coal continues to contribute the largest emissions.

Based on the ARED scenario, in 2025, coal-fired power plants are predicted to produce 262 million tons of CO2 greenhouse gas emissions, equivalent to 88% of Indonesia's total power plant emissions.

This trend continues until 2034, where coal is projected to contribute 303 million tons of CO2 emissions, equivalent to 84% of national electricity generation emissions.

In the same scenario, emissions from gas energy sources are expected to roughly double during 2025-2034, but the volume remains significantly smaller than coal emissions.

Meanwhile, emissions from oil-based fuel power plants will decrease significantly, as shown in the graph.

Editor : Adi Ahdiat

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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Coal: Indonesia's Largest Emission Source in the 2025-2034 Energy Transition Scenario

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