Indonesia's Power Plant Emissions in Energy Transition Scenario 2025-2034

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Adi Ahdiat 09/07/2025 16:46 WIB

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Indonesia has an energy transition acceleration scenario called Accelerated Renewable Energy Development (ARED), which aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from power plants.

Greenhouse Gas Emission Projections from Indonesian Power Plants (2025-2034)

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Greenhouse Gas Emission Projections from Indonesian Power Plants (2025-2034)

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In Indonesia's Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) 2025-2034, the Indonesian government has developed an accelerated energy transition scenario called Accelerated Renewable Energy Development (ARED).

ARED includes targets for reducing fossil fuel-based power plants and adding more new and renewable energy (EBT) than in the normal or business-as-usual (BAU) scenario.

In the normal or BAU scenario—which does not consider the addition of EBT and the use of low-carbon technologies—Indonesia's power plants are projected to produce greenhouse gas emissions of up to 619 million tons of CO2 in 2034.

Meanwhile, in the accelerated energy transition scenario or ARED, greenhouse gas emissions from national power plants are estimated to be significantly lower, at only 362 million tons of CO2 in 2034, as shown in the graph.

Here is a comparison of projected greenhouse gas emissions from Indonesian power plants under the ARED and BAU scenarios for the period 2025-2034:

- Year 2025: ARED scenario 299 million tons of CO2, 17% lower than BAU

- Year 2026: ARED scenario 308 million tons of CO2, 19% lower than BAU

- Year 2027: ARED scenario 321 million tons of CO2, 21% lower than BAU

- Year 2028: ARED scenario 329 million tons of CO2, 25% lower than BAU

- Year 2029: ARED scenario 335 million tons of CO2, 28% lower than BAU

- Year 2030: ARED scenario 348 million tons of CO2, 30% lower than BAU

- Year 2031: ARED scenario 346 million tons of CO2, 35% lower than BAU

- Year 2032: ARED scenario 360 million tons of CO2, 36% lower than BAU

- Year 2033: ARED scenario 363 million tons of CO2, 39% lower than BAU

- Year 2034: ARED scenario 362 million tons of CO2, 42% lower than BAU

Editor : Adi Ahdiat

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."