The Indonesian government targets that coal energy consumption will increase during the 2030-2040 period and will remain relatively high until 2050.
This is evident from Government Regulation Number 40 of 2025 concerning the National Energy Policy (PP KEN), which was ratified by President Prabowo Subianto on September 15, 2025.
This latest PP KEN serves as a guideline for formulating national energy management plans until 2060.
This regulation also serves as a reference for formulating the National Medium-Term Development Plan (RPJMN), as well as for preparing strategic plans for ministries/agencies related to energy management.
In the 2025 PP KEN, the government sets a target for final energy utilization in tonnes of oil equivalent (TOE).
Final energy is energy that can be directly consumed by end-users, and TOE is a measure of energy quantity equivalent to one tonne of crude oil.
Specifically for coal, its final energy utilization is targeted to reach a minimum of 67.2 million TOE by 2030.
Subsequently, the minimum utilization target increases to 83.3 million TOE by 2040, and only slightly decreases to 80.3 million TOE by 2050.
A significant decrease in coal consumption is targeted to occur only by 2060, with a minimum utilization target of 25.3 million TOE, as shown in the graph.
This policy was subsequently criticized by the Indonesian Center for Environmental Law (ICEL), as it is deemed to prolong the lifespan of fossil fuel power plants, especially coal-fired ones.
"This policy reveals a major contradiction, because on one hand, Indonesia declares its commitment towards decarbonization and net-zero targets, but on the other hand, it continues to normalize coal usage for decades to come," said Syaharani, Head of ICEL's Climate Justice and Decarbonization Division, in a press release (September 25, 2025).
"This step not only weakens the credibility of Indonesia's climate commitments but also locks us into a dependence on dirty energy, which will complicate the transition to clean energy," she added.