Projection of Births and Deaths of the Indonesian Population 2020-2050

According to projections by the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the number of births in Indonesia will decrease during the 2020-2050 period, while the number of deaths will increase.

BPS made these projections based on the results of the population census conducted in 2020.

Citing BPS data, in 2020, there were approximately 4.69 million births in Indonesia. Subsequently, this number is estimated to gradually decrease, reaching 4.2 million births by 2050.

These projections coincide with the declining trend in Indonesia's birth rate, as well as the increasing trend of couples preventing or delaying pregnancy.

On the other hand, BPS estimates that the number of deaths will increase, from 1.53 million deaths in 2020 to 3.39 million deaths by 2050.

"The increasing number of deaths until 2050 is primarily due to the rising number of adult deaths, specifically from 56.90 percent in 2020 to 78.90 percent in 2050," BPS stated in its report.

Furthermore, by 2025, BPS estimates that the majority of Indonesia's population will still be under 35 years old.

Below are the projected population figures for Indonesia in 2025 by age group: 

• 80+ years: 2.49 million people

• 75–79 years: 3.48 million people

• 70–74 years: 6.34 million people

• 65–69 years: 9.27 million people

• 60–64 years: 12.36 million people

• 55–59 years: 15.17 million people

• 50–54 years: 17.60 million people

• 45–49 years: 19.63 million people

• 40–44 years: 20.68 million people

• 35–39 years: 21.72 million people

• 30–34 years: 22.19 million people

• 25–29 years: 22.51 million people

• 20–24 years: 22.16 million people

• 15–19 years: 22.10 million people

• 10–14 years: 22.02 million people

• 5–9 years: 21.96 million people

• 0–4 years: 22.75 million people