Without Intervention, How to Predict Covid-19 Deaths?

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Dwi Hadya Jayani 03/04/2020 14:43 WIB

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COVID-19 deaths would have been significantly higher without interventions such as self-isolation.

Actual vs. Estimated COVID-19 Deaths in Europe (March 31, 2020)

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Without Intervention, How to Predict Covid-19 Deaths?

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Actual vs. Estimated COVID-19 Deaths in Europe (March 31, 2020)

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The Imperial College Covid-19 Response Team published its research on the impact of interventions to prevent the coronavirus (Covid-19) implemented in 11 European countries. These interventions included self-isolation, school and university closures, and restrictions on large gatherings. Some countries also implemented local and national lockdowns.

The research shows that if Italy had not implemented interventions, the total death toll by March 31, 2020, would have reached 52,000. However, with interventions in place, the death toll was significantly lower at 12,428. Italy had the highest Covid-19 death rate in Europe.

Following Italy is Spain. Without interventions, the death toll in Spain was estimated to reach 24,000. The actual death toll was 8,464.

Editor : Safrezi Fitra

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."