USDA projects Indonesia to have the highest rice production in Southeast Asia by 2025.

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Erlina Fury Santika 19/05/2025 17:13 WIB

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The USDA projects that Indonesia will produce 34.6 million tons of rice in 2025, a 4.8% increase from the previous period.

Projected Rice Production Volume in Southeast Asia According to USDA (2024/2025)*

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Projected Rice Production Volume in Southeast Asia According to USDA (2024/2025)*

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The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)'s April 2025 Rice Outlook report projects Indonesia to produce 34.6 million tons of rice in the 2024/2025 period.

This volume represents a 4.8% increase year-on-year (yoy). The projection is also 600,000 tons higher than the previous month's estimate.

The USDA attributes this increase to a larger estimated harvest area. At 11.4 million hectares, the harvested area is 200,000 hectares larger than the previous estimate and almost 4% greater than the previous year.

"This area expansion is driven by good rainfall so far in 2025. The main season harvest, about 45% of total production, is currently underway," the USDA wrote in the report cited on Monday (May 19, 2025).

The USDA also explains that additional harvests are expected in July-August and November-December.

In Southeast Asia, Indonesia's projected rice production volume is the highest.

Vietnam is second with 26.5 million tons, followed by Thailand with 20.1 million tons, the Philippines with 12 million tons, Cambodia with 7.33 million tons, Laos with 1.8 million tons, and Malaysia with 1.75 million tons.

Indonesia's projected production growth is also among the highest. Other countries with the highest projected production increases include Brazil (13.9% yoy), Venezuela (13.3%), Taiwan (12.4%), India (6.7%), and Cambodia (5.4%).

According to Katadata, Brazil, Cambodia, China, the European Union, India, Iraq, Peru, Sri Lanka, and Vietnam contributed significantly to the overall increase in 2024/2025. Globally, global rice production reached a record high of 535.8 million tons. This also marks the ninth consecutive year of record global rice harvests.

This year's surge in rice production has reversed Indonesia's previous need for imports. This has caused concern and pressure on Thailand, a leading rice exporter in the region. In the first quarter of 2025, Thailand's export volume plummeted by 30%.

On the other hand, the government is actively absorbing farmers' paddy rice according to the established government purchase price (HPP). This effort aims to ensure optimal absorption of the harvest and profitable income for farmers.

(See Katadata: [Indonesian Rice Production to Surge, Still Needs Imports But Significantly Lower](https://katadata.co.id/berita/nasional/68218f7b0fc95/usda-produksi-beras-ri-bakal-melonjak-masih-perlu-impor-tapi-turun-signifikan))

Editor : Erlina Fury Santika

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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USDA projects Indonesia to have the highest rice production in Southeast Asia by 2025.

USDA projects Indonesia to have the highest rice production in Southeast Asia by 2025.

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USDA projects Indonesia to have the highest rice production in Southeast Asia by 2025.

USDA projects Indonesia to have the highest rice production in Southeast Asia by 2025.

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