Poltracking Poll: Erick Thohir's Electability Leads Ridwan Kamil and Sandiaga Uno as Vice Presidential Candidate

A recent Poltracking Indonesia survey shows Erick Thohir having the highest electability as a vice presidential candidate (cawapres), reaching 15.1%.

"Erick Thohir at 15.1 percent. Then, Ridwan Kamil 14 percent, Agus Harimurti 11.7 percent, Sandiaga Uno 9.3 percent, Khofifah 5.5 percent, Muhaimin Iskandar 5.3 percent," said Hanta Yuda, Executive Director of Poltracking Indonesia, in the survey release aired on Poltracking TV's YouTube channel on Thursday (22/12/2022).

Ridwan Kamil is in second place with electability reaching 14%. Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono and Sandiaga Uno follow with electability reaching 11.7% and 9.2%, respectively.

On the other hand, Anies Baswedan's electability as a presidential candidate (capres) is highest in three out of the five provinces surveyed. Anies leads in DKI Jakarta, Banten, and West Java.

In the simulation of the three strongest presidential candidates in DKI Jakarta, Anies Baswedan's electability is 49.6%, Ganjar Pranowo's is 27.5%, and Prabowo Subianto's is 15.7%. In Banten, in the simulation of the three strongest presidential candidates, Anies Baswedan's electability is 47.6%, Prabowo Subianto's is 28.5%, and Ganjar Pranowo's is 16.1%. In West Java, in the simulation of the three strongest presidential candidates, Anies Baswedan's electability is 36.3%, Prabowo Subianto's is 30.8%, and Ganjar Pranowo's is 18.7%.

Meanwhile, in Central Java, in the simulation of the three strongest presidential candidates, Ganjar Pranowo's electability is 71.4%, Prabowo Subianto's is 10.8%, and Anies Baswedan's is 9.0%. In East Java, in the simulation of the three strongest presidential candidates, Ganjar Pranowo's electability is 36.1%, Prabowo Subianto's is 25.5%, and Anies Baswedan's is 19.6%.

The electability figures above show that in Jakarta and Banten, Anies Baswedan's electability is relatively higher, exceeding other candidates by more than 19%. In West Java, Anies Baswedan is relatively competitive, only 6% behind Prabowo Subianto.

In East Java, Ganjar Pranowo is 11% ahead of Prabowo Subianto. Meanwhile, in Central Java, Ganjar Pranowo's electability is significantly higher, exceeding other candidates by 60%.

Poltracking Indonesia conducted five provincial surveys on Java Island (DKI Jakarta, Banten, West Java, Central Java, & East Java) from November 26 to December 2, 2022, using a stratified multistage random sampling method. The sample size in each province was 1000 respondents (DKI Jakarta 1000 respondents, Banten 1000 respondents, West Java 1000 respondents, Central Java 1000 respondents, & East Java 1000 respondents) with a margin of error of +/- 3.1% in each province and a 95% confidence level.

(read: Poltracking: Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto's Performance is the Most Satisfying to the Public)