Denny JA's LSI: Khofifah-Emil's electability reaches 65% in October 2024

Denny JA's Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) has released the results of a survey on the electability of gubernatorial and vice-gubernatorial candidates in a simulation of the 2024 East Java Regional Elections.

The results show that the pair Khofifah Indar Parawansa-Emil Dardak achieved the highest electability, reaching 65.8% at the end of October 2024.

They were followed by the pair Tri Rismaharini-Zahrul Azhar Asumta (Gus Hans), who achieved 24.5% electability. The pair Luluk Nur Hamidah-Lukmanul Nur Hakim were only chosen by 1% of respondents.

Meanwhile, 8.7% of respondents were undecided or did not answer which pair they supported in the 2024 East Java Regional Elections.

Sunarto Ciptoharjono, Director of the LSI Denny JA Public Policy Survey Circle, assessed that Khofifah-Emil's landslide victory is due to their high public approval rating.

Their survey found that 88.1% of East Java residents were satisfied with Khofifah's performance and 77.3% were satisfied with Emil's performance.

"Logically, an incumbent who has been successful and still has time to continue their term will, on average, be re-elected," said Sunarto in an online presentation of the survey on Wednesday (30/10/2024).

In addition, the political machine of the United Indonesia Coalition (KIM) is also considered effective. Sunarto stated that most voters from KIM parties said they would support Khofifah-Emil in East Java. Khofifah's position as Chairwoman of PP Muslimat NU is also a determining factor.

"One of the determining factors in this victory is Khofifah's position as Chairwoman of PP Muslimat NU. This is the key to victory; it's the voice of the women in NU," said Sunarto.

This survey involved 800 respondents in East Java, with the criteria being 17 years of age or older, or married. Respondents were selected using multistage random sampling.

Data collection was conducted from October 16-22, 2024, through face-to-face interviews using questionnaires. The survey's margin of error is approximately 3.5% at a 95% confidence level.