Disaster Risk Index in 38 Provinces of Indonesia in 2024

According to data from the National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB), most Indonesian provinces have a "moderate" disaster risk level in 2024.

However, several provinces have a "high" disaster risk.

BNPB measures disaster risk in Indonesia based on three main indicators: 

1. Hazard: The probability of the frequency and intensity of natural disasters in an area, including earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, landslides, floods, extreme weather, droughts, forest and land fires, as well as extreme waves and abrasion.
2. Vulnerability: The number of people at risk of exposure to disasters, the risk of losses due to disasters, and the level of environmental degradation.
3. Capacity: The ability of local governments to manage disasters.

These various indicators are then processed into a numerical index. The higher the number, the higher the assumed disaster risk in an area.

In 2024, there are 8 provinces with a "high" disaster risk, with an index above 144 points, namely Maluku, West Sulawesi, Southeast Sulawesi, Southwest Papua, West Papua, North Maluku, Aceh, and Bengkulu.

Meanwhile, the other 30 provinces fall into the "moderate" disaster risk category, with an index below 144 points.

Below are the details of the disaster risk index in 38 Indonesian provinces in 2024 according to BNPB, sorted from highest:

1. Maluku: 161.5 (high)
2. West Sulawesi: 155.69 (high)
3. Southeast Sulawesi: 151.77 (high)
4. Southwest Papua: 148.44 (high)
5. West Papua: 145.76 (high)
6. North Maluku: 145.09 (high)
7. Aceh: 144.29 (high)
8. Bengkulu: 144.08 (high)
9. Bangka Belitung Islands: 143.42 (moderate)
10. West Sumatra: 142.55 (moderate)
11. South Sulawesi: 140.76 (moderate)
12. North Sumatra: 139.84 (moderate)
13. South Papua: 138.2 (moderate)
14. Jambi: 138.02 (moderate)
15. Riau: 137.69 (moderate)
16. Papua: 137.43 (moderate)
17. Central Sulawesi: 137.25 (moderate)
18. East Kalimantan: 136.11 (moderate)
19. East Nusa Tenggara: 131.85 (moderate)
20. North Kalimantan: 131.84 (moderate)
21. West Kalimantan: 131.66 (moderate)
22. South Sumatra: 131.05 (moderate)
23. Lampung: 130.1 (moderate)
24. Banten: 128.64 (moderate)
25. North Sulawesi: 125.91 (moderate)
26. South Kalimantan: 122.11 (moderate)
27. Central Kalimantan: 117.48 (moderate)
28. Central Papua: 116.49 (moderate)
29. Gorontalo: 116.02 (moderate)
30. West Java: 114.15 (moderate)
31. East Java: 113.7 (moderate)
32. West Nusa Tenggara: 113.64 (moderate)
33. Bali: 111.28 (moderate)
34. Riau Islands: 109.24 (moderate)
35. DI Yogyakarta: 102.83 (moderate)
36. Highland Papua: 102.05 (moderate)
37. Central Java: 99.61 (moderate)
38. DKI Jakarta: 59.29 (moderate)

"The values presented can serve as a guide for policymakers at national and regional levels to determine priority disaster management efforts in their respective areas to reduce the disaster risk index," BNPB stated in its report.