Beware of Demographic Disasters: Indonesia's Population Projection for 2045

Demographics

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Viva Budy Kusnandar 19/04/2022 19:20 WIB

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The National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas) and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) predict that Indonesia will experience a demographic bonus in 2045, with a productive-age population of 207.

Indonesia's Population Pyramid Projection in the Demographic Bonus Era (2045)

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Beware of Demographic Disasters: Indonesia's Population Projection for 2045

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Indonesia's Population Pyramid Projection in the Demographic Bonus Era (2045)

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The Ministry of National Development Planning (PPN) and the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) estimate that Indonesia will experience a demographic bonus in 2045, coinciding with the 100th anniversary of the Republic of Indonesia.

A demographic bonus is a condition where the working-age population significantly outnumbers the non-working-age population.

In the report *Indonesia's Population Projection 2015-2045*, the Ministry of PPN and BPS predict that Indonesia's population will reach 318.96 million in 2045.

Of this number, the working-age population (15-64 years) is estimated to reach 207.99 million.

Meanwhile, the non-working-age population is projected to reach 110.97 million, comprising 44.99 million people aged over 65 and 65.98 million aged 0-14 years.

Based on this data, Indonesia's dependency ratio in 2045 is estimated at 53.35%, meaning that 100 working-age individuals will support 54 non-working-age individuals.

Warning of a Demographic Disaster

In this regard, Vice President Ma'ruf Amin stated that Indonesia needs to be wary of a demographic disaster, a condition where population growth is not accompanied by increased productivity.

“Our task is to prepare superior young intellectuals and ensure that the demographic bonus does not become a demographic disaster,” said Ma'ruf in his speech at the 62nd anniversary of the Indonesian Islamic Students Movement (PMII) at the National Museum, Jakarta, as reported by *Kompas.com* on Monday (18/4/2022).

Ma'ruf also stated that the vision of "Golden Indonesia 2045" needs to be pursued through mastery of science, economic development, and technological advancement.

Editor : Adi Ahdiat

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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Beware of Demographic Disasters: Indonesia's Population Projection for 2045

Beware of Demographic Disasters: Indonesia's Population Projection for 2045

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Beware of Demographic Disasters: Indonesia's Population Projection for 2045

Beware of Demographic Disasters: Indonesia's Population Projection for 2045

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