Ministry of Agriculture Projects Continued Increase in Indonesia's Garlic Production Until 2024

The 2020 Commodity Outlook Book on garlic, released by the Indonesian Ministry of Agriculture (Kementan), contains information on the projection of national garlic production. Kementan estimates that garlic production in Indonesia will continue to increase until 2024.

In 2020, garlic production was projected to reach 105,289 tons. This is expected to increase to 115,325 tons in 2024, with an average annual increase of 2.3%.

This garlic production projection is derived from the product of projected harvest area and projected productivity. The projected harvest area from 2020 to 2024 is expected to increase by an average of 0.29% per year.

Similarly, garlic productivity is projected to continue increasing until 2024, with an average annual growth of 2%.

Furthermore, Kementan also predicts that garlic consumption will increase by 1.38% per year from 2020 to 2024. In 2021, national garlic consumption is projected at 515,740 tons, but this is expected to decrease to 508,350 tons in 2022, before rising again to 517,930 tons in 2023 and 526,770 tons in 2024.

Garlic consumption is recorded as higher than production, resulting in a projected deficit. In 2021, the garlic deficit is projected at 408,020 tons. This decreases to 398,150 tons in 2022, before increasing again to 405,200 tons in 2023 and 411,440 tons in 2024.

Kementan notes that low domestic garlic production is supplemented by imports from several countries, including China, India, Taiwan, and the United States. However, the increasing garlic imports year after year do not guarantee lower prices; indeed, this commodity is suspected to be a contributing factor to inflation.