SMRC: Puan Maharani's Electability Lags Far Behind Prabowo Subianto and Anies Baswedan

The electability of Indonesian House of Representatives Speaker Puan Maharani as a presidential candidate (Capres) still lags behind other strong contenders such as Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto and Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan.

This is based on findings from a survey conducted by Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting (SMRC) in August 2022.

In a closed simulation with three names (assuming the PDI-P presidential candidate is Puan Maharani, not Ganjar Pranowo), Prabowo Subianto took the lead with 40.2% of respondent support. Anies Baswedan received 27.5% of respondent support, while Puan Maharani only received 7.85%. Those who didn't answer (TJ) and those who didn't know (TT) reached 24.5%.

In a Top of Mind (open) simulation, Puan Maharani's electability only reached 0.7% of respondent support. This result is unable to compete with other strong candidates, such as Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo (17.6%), Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto (12.6%), and Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan (9.1%).

Meanwhile, in a closed simulation with 11 names, Puan Maharani only received 2% support. This figure is also far behind other candidates, such as Ganjar Pranowo (27.1%), Prabowo Subianto (19%), and Anies Baswedan (15.6%).

To boost her electability, Puan Maharani has undertaken a political safari, meeting with other political figures, such as NasDem Party Chairman Surya Paloh and Gerindra Party Chairman Prabowo Subianto.

SMRC conducted a national survey from August 5-13, 2022, involving 1,220 respondents spread across 34 provinces. Sample collection used a multistage random sampling method with a margin of error of +/- 3.1% and a 95% confidence level.