Presidential-Vice Presidential Candidate Simulation in Indikator Survey: Ganjar-Ridwan Kamil Garner High Support

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Erlina Fury Santika 19/05/2023 17:13 WIB

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Of the many presidential and vice-presidential candidate pairings simulated in the Indonesian Political Indicator survey, Ganjar Pranowo-Ridwan Kamil

Presidential and Vice-Presidential Candidate Simulation by Indikator Politik Indonesia (April 30 - May 5, 2023)

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Presidential-Vice Presidential Candidate Simulation in Indikator Survey: Ganjar-Ridwan Kamil Garner High Support

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Presidential and Vice-Presidential Candidate Simulation by Indikator Politik Indonesia (April 30 - May 5, 2023)

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The Indonesian Political Indicator research institute conducted four simulated pairings of presidential and vice-presidential candidates for the upcoming 2024 Presidential Election.

The presidential candidates simulated were Ganjar Pranowo, Prabowo Subianto, and Anies Baswedan. These three names have the highest electability in the Indonesian Political Indicator survey.

The details are: Prabowo Subianto (34.8% of total respondents), Ganjar Pranowo (34.4%), and Anies Baswedan (21.8%).

These three names were then paired with several other names in four simulated pairings. These names include Ridwan Kamil, Sandiaga Uno, Mahfud MD, Erick Thohir, Khofifah Indar Parawansa, and Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY).

From these simulations, Ganjar Pranowo frequently received the highest votes compared to other pairings. Ganjar-Ridwan Kamil received 40.1% (simulation IV) and 36.3% (simulation I). On average, Ganjar-Ridwan Kamil received 38.2%.

Meanwhile, Ganjar Pranowo-Sandiaga Uno received 38% (simulation II) and 37% (simulation III), averaging 37.5%.

Prabowo Subianto received the second-highest position. In the Prabowo-Erick Thohir pairing, they received 35.4% (simulation I), 34.3% (simulation III), and 32.2% (simulation II). The average of the three Prabowo simulations reached 33.9%. Meanwhile, Prabowo-Khofifah Indar Parawansa received 30.5% of the vote (simulation IV).

Anies received the smallest proportion. When Anies was paired with Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY), the proportion reached 19.2% (simulation II) and 18.5% (simulation IV), averaging 18.8%. Meanwhile, Anies-Khofifah reached 17.9% (simulation III) and Anies-Mahfud reached 17.6% (simulation I), averaging 17.7%.

The respondents in this study were 1,200 Indonesian citizens aged 17 years and older or already married and possessing a telephone at the time of the survey.

The sample selection method used random digit dialing (RDD). RDD is a technique for selecting samples through the random generation of telephone numbers.

The survey's margin of error is approximately 2.9% at a 95% confidence level, assuming simple random sampling. Interviews were conducted via telephone from April 30 to May 5, 2023.

The following are the results of the presidential-vice presidential candidate simulations by the Indonesian Political Indicator:

* Simulation I:
* Ganjar Pranowo-Ridwan Kamil 36.3%
* Prabowo Subianto-Erick Thohir 35.4%
* Anies Baswedan-Mahfud MD 17.6%
* Don't know/Don't answer (DK/DA) 10.7%

* Simulation II:
* Ganjar Pranowo-Sandiaga Uno 38%
* Prabowo Subianto-Erick Thohir 32.2%
* Anies Baswedan-AHY 19.2%
* DK/DA 10.6%

* Simulation III:
* Ganjar Pranowo-Sandiaga Uno 37%
* Prabowo Subianto-Erick Thohir 34.3%
* Anies Baswedan-Khofifah Indar 17.9%
* DK/DA 10.8%

* Simulation IV:
* Ganjar Pranowo-Ridwan Kamil 40.1%
* Prabowo Subianto-Khofifah 30.5%
* Anies Baswedan-AHY 18.5%
* DK/DA 11%

Editor : Erlina Fury Santika

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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Presidential-Vice Presidential Candidate Simulation in Indikator Survey: Ganjar-Ridwan Kamil Garner High Support

Presidential-Vice Presidential Candidate Simulation in Indikator Survey: Ganjar-Ridwan Kamil Garner High Support

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Presidential-Vice Presidential Candidate Simulation in Indikator Survey: Ganjar-Ridwan Kamil Garner High Support

Presidential-Vice Presidential Candidate Simulation in Indikator Survey: Ganjar-Ridwan Kamil Garner High Support

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