If Anies and Ahok had a rematch in the Jakarta gubernatorial election, who would win?
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Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) conducted a Jakarta gubernatorial election (Pilkada) simulation survey involving two candidates: Anies Baswedan and Basuki Tjahaja Purnama (Ahok).
The results showed Anies receiving 37.8% of the vote, narrowly beating Ahok who received 34.3%. 28% of respondents remained undecided.
According to SMRC Executive Director Deni Irvani, the Anies-Ahok contest resembles a rematch of the 2017 Jakarta gubernatorial election.
"While statistically the difference is not significant, it's not surprising; Anies also won against Ahok back then [in the 2017 Jakarta Pilkada]," said Deni in the video *Peluang Calon-Calon Di Pilgub Jakarta: Temuan Agustus 2024* on SMRC's YouTube channel, uploaded on Sunday (August 18, 2024).
However, many respondents currently remain hesitant in choosing between Anies and Ahok if they were to compete again.
"When Anies and Ahok compete, people think, 'Who should I choose? Will the gubernatorial election be like before?' That's probably still a consideration for people," he said.
The SMRC survey involved 500 respondents in Jakarta, proportionally selected to represent voters in each regency/city.
Data collection was conducted from August 8-12, 2024, through telephone interviews. The survey's margin of error is approximately 4.5% at a 95% confidence level.
"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."
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