Polling: Most of Prabowo's 2019 Voter Base Remains Unchanged in 2024

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Nabilah Muhamad 24/11/2023 19:36 WIB

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According to a Polling Institute survey, 54.2% of Prabowo's voters in the 2019 election will support him again in the 2024 election.

Presidential and Vice-Presidential Candidate Preference Levels Based on the 2019 Election Voter Base (November 2023)

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Polling: Most of Prabowo's 2019 Voter Base Remains Unchanged in 2024

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Presidential and Vice-Presidential Candidate Preference Levels Based on the 2019 Election Voter Base (November 2023)

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According to a Polling Institute survey of 1,496 respondents, 44.5% chose the Prabowo-Sandiaga Uno pairing in the 2019 election.

Of that group, a majority, or 54.2%, said they would vote for Prabowo-Gibran in the 2024 election, while 34.5% would switch to Anies-Muhaimin, and 6.9% to Ganjar-Mahfud.

"More than half of Prabowo's 2019 voter base will vote for Prabowo again," said Polling Institute researcher Kennedy Muslim in a presentation of the survey results titled *Current Electoral Dynamics: Is a Single-Round 2024 Presidential Election Possible*, on Thursday, November 23, 2023.

The Polling Institute also found that of the 1,496 respondents, 55.5% previously voted for Jokowi-Ma'ruf Amin, and their votes are now more divided.

Of this group, 36.6% said they would vote for Ganjar-Mahfud in the 2024 election, 34.4% for Prabowo-Gibran, and 20.1% for Anies-Muhaimin.

All respondents in this survey were 17 years or older, or married, owned a telephone, and are assumed to represent 83% of the total national population.

The sample was taken using random digit dialing (RDD).

Data collection was conducted from November 15-17, 2023, using telephone interviews by trained interviewers. This survey has a margin of error of 2.6% at a 95% confidence level, assuming simple random sampling.

(See also: LSI Denny JA: Many Ganjar Voters Switch to Anies and Prabowo)

Editor : Adi Ahdiat

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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Polling: Most of Prabowo's 2019 Voter Base Remains Unchanged in 2024

Polling: Most of Prabowo's 2019 Voter Base Remains Unchanged in 2024

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Polling: Most of Prabowo's 2019 Voter Base Remains Unchanged in 2024

Polling: Most of Prabowo's 2019 Voter Base Remains Unchanged in 2024

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