Crude palm oil (CPO) prices strengthened throughout the first quarter of 2024.
According to Investing.com data, the monthly average CPO price on the Rotterdam commodities exchange reached US$1,105 per ton by March 2024.
This price is up 8.9% month-on-month and 7.8% year-on-year.
Despite the price increase, the Indonesian Palm Oil Association (Gapki) believes the Indonesian palm oil industry will face challenges throughout the year.
"China, one of the largest consumers of palm oil, is still grappling with economic weakness post-Covid-19, as is Europe, where the economy is weakening with an increasing fiscal deficit accompanied by high inflation," Gapki stated in a press release on Tuesday (February 27, 2024).
"Now the world must face geopolitical escalation in the Red Sea due to the Israel-Palestine war, which is also expected to have a significant impact on commodity supplies, given that the Red Sea is a strategic global trade route," it continued.
Amid this situation, Gapki predicts that CPO price movements in 2024 will not change significantly compared to 2023.
They also predict that national palm oil production this year will stagnate, export volumes will decrease, but domestic consumption will increase.
"Domestic consumption is expected to continue to increase, especially for food, oleochemical, and energy needs with the full-year implementation of B35 biodiesel," said Gapki.