Indonesia, the World's 3rd Highest Disaster Risk Country by 2025

Indonesia is projected to be the country with the 3rd highest disaster risk in the world by 2025.

This is evident from the World Risk Index released by the German humanitarian organization, Bündnis Entwicklung Hilft, together with the European research institution, Institute of International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict. 

The World Risk Index is an index that measures disaster risk due to extreme natural events and the negative impacts of climate change.

This index is compiled from various assessment dimensions summarized in two major pillars, namely:

• Exposure: The frequency and intensity of earthquakes, tsunamis, floods, cyclones, droughts, and sea-level rise in a region, as well as the number of affected populations.
• Vulnerability: How easily a society experiences instability due to disasters, including their capacity to cope with disasters from economic, political, social, and environmental perspectives.

These assessment pillars are then formulated into a score on a scale of 0—100 points with the following classifications:

• Very low risk: 0—1.84 points
• Low risk: 1.85—3.20 points
• Medium risk: 3.21—5.87 points
• High risk: 5.88—12.88 points
• Very high risk: 12.89—100 points

Based on this method, Indonesia has a disaster risk index score of 39.8 points in 2025, falling into the very high-risk category.

This figure also makes Indonesia the country with the 3rd highest disaster risk index out of 193 countries surveyed.