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Economic Growth Projections for Indonesia in 2026, according to the ADB, IMF, and World Bank

Akbar Ridwan 16/04/2026 16:46 WIB

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International financial institutions have different projections for Indonesia's economic growth in 2026. The most pessimistic figures come from the World Bank.

The Economic Growth Projection of Indonesia for 2026 (April 2026)

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The Economic Growth Projection of Indonesia for 2026 (April 2026)

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Three global financial institutions, the Asian Development Bank (ADB), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the World Bank (World Bank), have just released their April 2026 economic forecast reports.

According to the reports from these three institutions, Indonesia's economic growth this year is projected to range between 4.7% and 5.2%.

The most optimistic forecast comes from the ADB, which estimates that Indonesia's economy could potentially grow by 5.2% in 2026.

However, this ADB forecast was made under the scenario of early stabilization-that is, if the US-Israel conflict with Iran only lasts for about one month and the disruptions gradually subside afterwards.

"A prolonged conflict in the Middle East could weigh on these prospects," the ADB said in its Asian Development Outlook report.

Meanwhile, in its World Economic Outlook report, the IMF projects Indonesia's economic growth in 2026 at 5%.

Then in its East Asia and Pacific Economic Update report, the World Bank predicts that Indonesia's economy will only grow by 4.7% this year.

"Indonesia's growth is projected to slow to 4.7% due to the impact of rising oil prices," the World Bank said in its report.

"The risk-off sentiment among investors will be slightly offset by commodity revenues and government investment initiatives," it said.

Editor : Adi Ahdiat

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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