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Indonesia's Demographic Bonus Projected to Peak in 2050

Erlina Fury Santika 20/05/2023 19:38 WIB

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The Central Statistics Agency (BPS) projects that Indonesia's demographic bonus will continue to increase and peak in 2025.

Demographic Bonus Projection and Population Dependency Ratio (2020-2050)

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Demographic Bonus Projection and Population Dependency Ratio (2020-2050)

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The Central Statistics Agency (BPS) projects that Indonesia's demographic bonus will continue to increase, peaking in 2025.

A demographic bonus is a situation where the number of productive people or the workforce aged 15-64 years is greater than the number of non-productive people aged 0-14 years and over 64 years.

In addition to projecting the demographic bonus, BPS also calculates the dependency ratio, which is the ratio between the number of non-productive age population and the number of productive age population.

Through the 2020 Population Census program, BPS calculated the number of productive-age people to be 186.77 million. The dependency ratio reached 44.33%.

Furthermore, BPS projects an increase of almost 10 million productive-age people in 2025, reaching 196.13 million. The dependency ratio is projected to decrease slightly, to 44.02%.

Looking at the projected trend, the increase in the productive-age population is around 2-4 million people every five years. However, in 2045 and 2050, the projected increase and the number of demographic bonuses will not increase significantly, from 213.18 million people in 2045 to 213.41 million people in 2050.

Similarly, the projected dependency ratio shows an increase of approximately 1-2% every five years, as shown in the graph. The projected dependency ratio will increase significantly by 2050, reaching 54.13%.

BPS considers this demographic change to be very rapid. BPS believes that Indonesia will become one of the countries with the largest workforce in Asia.

"However, at the same time, the dependency ratio is increasing because the number of elderly people is also increasing," BPS wrote in a report entitled *Indonesia's Population Projection 2020-2050 Results of the 2020 Population Census*.

In general, Indonesia's population is projected to reach 324.05 million people in 2045. This is based on a calculation of an increase of 54.47 million people since 2020.

Editor : Erlina Fury Santika

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."

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Indonesia's Demographic Bonus Projected to Peak in 2050

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Indonesia's Demographic Bonus Projected to Peak in 2050

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