Indonesia Barometer: Prabowo a Potential Challenger to Jokowi in the 2019 Presidential Election

Joko Widodo (Jokowi) has a strong chance of being re-elected president for a second term and is the strongest presidential candidate in the 2019 Presidential Election (Pilpres). This is reflected in the results of an Indo Barometer survey showing that Jokowi's electability is the highest compared to other candidates.

According to the survey, Jokowi's electability reached 34.9 percent of respondent votes as a 2019 presidential candidate. Meanwhile, the most potential challenger is Prabowo Subianto with an electability of 12.1 percent. Other contenders such as Anies Baswedan, Basuki Tjahaja Purnama (Ahok), and Gatot Nurmantyo have electability rates below 5 percent. Furthermore, 26.1 percent of respondents were undecided/secretive/don't know/didn't answer.

The Indo Barometer survey was conducted from November 15-23, 2017, involving 1,200 respondents aged 17 years or older, or who were married. The survey used a multistage random sampling method with a margin of error of +/- 2.83 percent and a 95 percent confidence level.