Political Indicator Survey: PSI Still Below Parliament's Threshold

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Erlina Fury Santika 12/02/2024 18:03 WIB

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A recent survey by Indikator Politik shows that eight political parties have passed the parliamentary threshold. Ten others have not, including the PSI.

Political Party Electability in the 2024 Election Simulation by Indikator Politik (January 28 - February 4, 2024)

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Political Indicator Survey: PSI Still Below Parliament's Threshold

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Political Party Electability in the 2024 Election Simulation by Indikator Politik (January 28 - February 4, 2024)

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An Indonesian Political Indicator survey shows that at least eight political parties passed the parliamentary threshold in a simulation of the 2024 General Election conducted between January 28 and February 4, 2024.

PDI-P is predicted to enter Parliament with the highest vote share at 20.3%. This figure is a slight increase from the previous survey (December 30, 2023 – January 6, 2024) which showed 20%.

Following PDI-P are Gerindra at 18%; Golkar at 11.9%; PKS at 8.4%; PKB at 8.3%; Demokrat at 7.2%; NasDem at 5.9%; and PAN at 5.5%. The electability of parties outside these eight is below the threshold of 4%.

Meanwhile, 10 parties are predicted to not enter Parliament. PSI is among these, with an electability of 2.3%. However, this is a significant increase from the December 2023-January 2024 survey, which showed only 1.4%.

(See also: Survey Indikator Early 2024, PDI-P Slightly Ahead of Gerindra)

Other parties with low electability include PPP at 2.1%; Perindo at 1.1%; Ummat at 0.4%; and Buruh, Gelora, Garuda, Hanura, and PBB, all at 0.2%. PKN has the lowest electability at 0.1%.

A significant percentage of respondents answered "don't know" or "didn't answer" (DK/DA), reaching 7.6%.

This survey was conducted from January 28 to February 4, 2024, involving 1,200 respondents proportionally distributed across all provinces.

The survey population comprised Indonesian citizens with voting rights in the 2024 General Election, aged at least 17 years or already married.

The sample was drawn using multistage random sampling with a margin of error of approximately 2.9% and a 95% confidence level.

(See also: Survey Indikator: Prabowo-Gibran Electability at 51.8% Ahead of the 2024 General Election)

Editor : Erlina Fury Santika

"Disclosure: This is an AI-generated translation of the original article. We strive for accuracy, but please note that automated translations may contain errors or slight inconsistencies."