Why is Ganjar-Mahfud the Strongest Choice? This is What Citizens Say

According to a survey by the Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI), the strongest reason citizens chose the candidate pair (paslon) number 03, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD, in the 2024 Presidential Election is that they are considered the most convincing.

This reason was chosen by 13.3% of Ganjar-Mahfud's total voters in the survey. The second reason was simply liking them, chosen by 11.1%.

Furthermore, Ganjar-Mahfud was considered to have demonstrable work achievements (10.8%). Others chose them because they are considered down-to-earth and frequently visit the people (8.2%).

Other reasons included the candidates being considered honest, trustworthy, and reliable (5.7%). Other factors included their perceived ability to lead, their experience, and their Javanese ethnicity, with percentages as shown in the attached graph.

The survey also shows that Ganjar-Mahfud received 21.7% of the total respondents in January 2024. This electability is down from the previous survey, which showed 23.8% in December 2023.

The LSI survey method generally uses double sampling, which is a random sampling from a collection of data from previous face-to-face surveys.

A total of 210,001 respondents, randomly distributed throughout Indonesia, were previously interviewed face-to-face. On average, about 70% of them have telephone numbers. A random sample of 14,870 data points was selected for telephone interviews, and 1,206 respondents were successfully interviewed during the survey period.

These telephone interviews were conducted on January 10-11, 2024. The survey's margin of error is estimated at 2.9% at a 95% confidence level, assuming simple random sampling.

The following are the reasons citizens chose Ganjar-Mahfud, based on the LSI survey of January 10-11, 2024:

* Most convincing: 13.3%
* Simply like them: 11.1%
* Proven work record: 10.8%
* Down-to-earth, frequently visits the people: 8.2%
* Honest, trustworthy, reliable: 5.7%
* Supported by my preferred party: 5.1%
* Most capable of leading: 4.8%
* Decisive, courageous, authoritative: 4.4%
* Experienced: 4.4%
* Intelligent, broad-minded: 2.3%
* Understands the needs of the people: 1.6%
* Javanese ethnicity: 1.1%
* Wants change: 0.7%
* Continuing Jokowi's leadership: 0.4%
* Supported by Jokowi: 0.3%
* Military background: 0%
* More Islamic: 0%
* Young: 0%
* Jokowi's child: 0%
* Following family's choice: 0%
* Following neighbors' choice: 0%
* Following community leaders' advice: 0%
* Other: 13.8%
* Don't know/No answer: 11.8%

(Also read: The Biggest Reason Citizens Choose Anies-Imin: Want Change)